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FiveThirtyEight has compiled the predictions for the new season, and they're pretty revealing
Manchester City will win the title, while the three teams who were promoted to the Premier League last season will all be relegated.
The system factors in how many goals a team is expected to score and how many they're likely to concede per game, as well as the amount of points they may take from an individual fixture.
These predicted stats are then used to calculate everything from a club's chances of winning the title to qualifying for the Champions League.
And according to the estimations, last season's winners Chelsea will finish second behind the Citizens, while Manchester United will come third.
Tottenham are apparently set to take the final Champions League spot, while it's bad news for Arsenal and Liverpool, who finish fifth and sixth respectively.
The rest of the league is as follows: Everton; Southampton; Leicester City; West Ham; Stoke City; Burnley; Crystal Palace; Bournemouth; Swansea City; West Brom; Watford; Newcastle; Brighton; Huddersfield.
On the continent, Real Madrid are expected to retain the La Liga crown, with Barcelona coming second and Atletico Madrid finishing third.
While in Germany, Bayern Munich are destined to win the Bundesliga by an incredible margin, with Dortmund runners-up and Leipzig coming third.
Here’s our fantasy premier league GW22 forward player rankings article. Each player is ranked as a transfer target for GW22. There’s a table of stats plus some narrative on prospects and their next 6 fixtures
FANTASY PREMIER LEAGUE GW22 FORWARD PLAYER RANKINGS
Here’s the ranking table in it’s short form. Here’s the link to the google internet spreadsheet for the full stats tables with alot more info and a few more players added on. I’ve added more stats including whether they take, penalties, set piece involvement and average minutes for the last 4 games. Also I’ve added the position they will play. Thats less relevant for forwards unless they are playing wide or as a support striker
Remember it’s their rank as a transfer target for this week. This can be affected by the next fixture. So a forward who’s next game is away to Chelsea will have their ranking diminished to some degree compared to someone who’s home to Swansea.
Comments and fixtures are for the top 10 ranked players
The columns are self explanatory. The fixt ease column shows the easiness ranking of the next 6 and 3 fixtures. Use this link to see the full fixture ease article.
There’s no Costa due to question marks over his starting role
It’s now 6 consecutive games with a goal or assist for the Man Utd forward. It’s all backed up by excellent underlying shooting stats. He also has been a very consistent returner, has pens and it’s pretty rare he doesn’t play 90 mins
The scary thing about the Kane hat trick in GW21 against WBA is that it could have been so much more. He’s a bit unpredictable but only Giroud and Ibra have better consistency return stats. Has pens and pretty much always plays 90 minutes
There seems to be positive things coming out about Giroud’s injury to suggest that he will be fit for GW22. However it definitely needs monitoring during the week. Even fit it’s hard to guarantee he will start due to Wengers view of Sanchez as a striker ands the effect overall on the team. 4 consecutive scoring games won’t even guarantee that security. However his scoring rate has been phenomenal this season and that’s backed up by very good underlying shooting stats. He will score it’s just whether Wenger prefers the team with or without him. If you’re going to gamble though Burnley at home next is a great time to do it
It always seems to be feast or famine with Lukaku. With 3 returning games in his last 4 we’re feasting. However who knows when the fridge will be empty. Were certainly going through a good spell of underlying stats and fixtures to follow to help the returns to continue. No longer has pens but is an attacking focal point and a player who will generally play 90 minutes
Crystal Palace (A)
Aguero wasn’t immune from the quite pitiful snails pace possession game that Man City showed in their 0-4 loss to Everton and now were seeing a drop off in the underlying shooting stats in recent games. There’s also the rather unhelpful possibility that he’s lost penalties to Yaya Toure. His consistency return rate has also dropped below 50% and his last 4 points return is quite pathetic. Home to Spurs isn’t a great time to buy but the next 3 fixtures after that are good. This is about whether you believe Guardiola has, at the moment, made the mess of Aguero that he has of the City team as a whole.
It’s a one man mission to keep Sunderland up from Defoe. 12 out of Sunderlands 20 goals have come from him. Has pens, in great form and very consistent. Pretty much guaranteed to play 90 minutes. Even the underlying stats have been looking good recently not that he needs loads of chances to score. It’s just playing for Sunderland that’s the issue. Mixed fixtures
Crystal Palace (A)
He may not be the most consistent returner, have great underlying stats or have pens. Despite the stat he will generally give you 90 minutes. What he seems to be able to do is score against the lower ranked sides. There are certainly a few of those coming up and if you’re going to buy him it has to be now. It’s a fixture gamble pure and simple
Crystal Palace (H)
How can you have a guy in the top 10 transfer targets for GW22 who hasn’t returned a goal or assist in 6 games I hear you ask?. I’d like to say he has pens or that the underlying stats show he’s just been unlucky. Unfortunately though I can’t. He may also have lost pens after a few misses and his underlying stats are nothing flash. I’m not helping am I? This is all about fixtures which are pretty good to say the least.
Scorer of one of the goals of the season against Palace there’s no doubting his ability. His underlying stats also convey a reasonably positive message. It’s just whether he can keep fit and play 90 minutes and whether West Ham can replace the chance creation of Payet if the saga ends as it seems likely it will. I’m a big fan of Antonio don’t get me wrong but he can’t produce 3 assists per game going forward. Fixtures are mixed
Crystal Palace (H)
While I’d like to say that the transfer in of Crouch to my team and the resultant 11 points was a stroke of genius on my part, I was as surprised as anyone that his recent good form continued. Only Giroud, Kane and Ibra have more FPL points in the last 4 games they’ve played as forwards than Crouch. I’d like to say it’s a total fluke but to be honest the underlying stats aren’t too bad.
Crystal Palace (H)
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No related posts.FANTASY PREMIER LEAGUE GW22 – THE BANDWAGONS AND SINKING SHIPS FANTASY PREMIER LEAGUE GW22 PLAYER RANKINGS – BEST DEFENCES AND DEFENDERS Stephen T
I have given up trying to force 3 forwards in a 3-4-3, playing a budget third forward, who, on paper looks good (Negredo or Rondon) but ends up without returns. Starting Costa and Ibra up front, I would have turned to Diomande as my budget third forward in a 3-5-2, opting to play a stronger midfield, as there are more playing providing returns. Last week was the first week I changed formations and while my score wasn’t stellar (67 points) it was one of my higher scores this season. Hopefully the formation change and tactic plays off moving forward.
I’ve played 3-5-2 the last few weeks for the same reasons as my budget 3rd striker just wasn’t worth putting on the pitch. Have Kane and Ibra up front and captained Kane so happy with that. Tempted to upgrade on a striker but don’t really want to sell down Hazard, Alli or Sanchez.
Out of those three, I stick with Sanchez and Alli and sell Hazard AFTER the Hull match. Some unfavorable matches with Liverpool and Arsenal in the next 2 weeks, would allow you to spend nicely to an in form midfielder or even splurge and get that third forward, Lukaku springs to mind with the fixtures and run of home matches.
Could you guys do a starting 11 team just for the week. That is the best select 11 you think will perform each week in a standard formation nd player number rules.
📋 Team news. Two changes to our starting XI, with Gosling and Steve Cook in for Pugh and Defoe.#afcb 🍒 pic.twitter.com/FhBMpoFQTfRelated News
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Published: 13:58 BST, 4 December 2016 | Updated: 19:39 BST, 4 December 2016
Leighton Baines' last gasp penalty earned Everton a deserved point as they fought back against Manchester United on Sunday afternoon.
After Zlatan Ibrahimovic scooped the ball over a stranded Maarten Stekelenburg to give Jose Mourinho's men the lead, the home side struggled to get past an in-form David De Gea.
But they were afforded a dramatic lifeline late in the game as substitute Marouane Fellaini fouled Idrissa Gueye in the penalty area, with Baines making no mistake from 12 yards.
In a subdued opening period, United defender Marcos Rojo was fortunate to escape a straight red card for a two-footed challenge on Gueye.
Relive the action with Sportsmail's JAMES DUTTON, while IAN LADYMAN and DOMINIC KING provided updates from Goodison Park.
Scroll down for video
An action-packed day in the Premier League, a heroic comeback from Bournemouth and ludicrous self-destruction from Liverpool decorated the earlier game.
And we've just seen a cruncher of a late game at Goodison Park, with Manchester United once again throwing away three points.
Thanks for joining, and we'll be back tomorrow night for Middlesbrough against Hull.
United are back up to sixth in the table, while Everton remain in eighth. But that will feel like another wasted opportunity for the away side. They are close to resembling a good side in the league, but they can't quite get it over the line when it matters.
Another 1-1 draw for Manchester United, another two points thrown away in the final minutes. Seven points they've lost in the final 10 minutes of games this season under Jose Mourinho. Everton probably deserved that for just not stopping.
Two and a half minutes to go. Is there one chance left? Such a frantic end to the game, end-to-end stuff now.
Leighton Baines tests De Gea again, his rasping drive on the left hand side is clawed away by the Spaniard.
Everton pushing hard now.
DOMINIC KING: Suddenly Goodison has come to life thanks to a nerveless penalty from Leighton Baines: he's been one of Everton's best performers and t would be no surprise if they pinch a winner now:
Fellaini, he's been on all of two minutes, and he commits an atrocious foul in the area. Just sticks his leg out, and brings down Idrissa Gueye in the area. Yellow for the Belgian and a caution too for David De Gea for time wasting.
Baines makes no mistake, into the bottom corner!
Zlatan lands a little awkwardly after an aerial change with Leighton Baines but he will solider on. Marouane Fellaini on to a smattering of boos from his old supporters.
Eight minutes plus stoppage time remaining as the England teenager enters the fray.
Holgate whips a ball into the six yard box and Enner Valencia does well to get some power on his header and direct it goalwards, but De Gea is equal to the effort and holds it on the line. He's not been overworked but he's made some important saves in this second half.
Darmian gives away a free kick, it's whipped in, Holgate gets a header on it and De Gea does well to tip it over the bar. United free kick then from the corner after a foul by the home side.
Idrissa Gueye hits a well-timed shot from the edge of the area but it's easy for De Gea and he punches away. Everton pushing now.
Everton building pressure but they look toothless in the final third. You fancy they will see a lot of the ball in these final 18 minutes plus stoppage time. United happy to sit back and stay in their defensive shape.
Yannick Bolasie's afternoon is over too, and Enner Valencia comes on in his place. Double whammy for Ronald Koeman in a matter of minutes.
The camera cuts to Ross Barkley who cuts a dejected figure on the bench. All subs used up from Ronald Koeman.
Mason Holgate it is who replaces the Irishman. Big blow for Ronald Koeman's side with tough fixtures coming up against Watford, Arsenal and Liverpool.
It's Tom Cleverly who makes way, but it looks like Seamus Coleman's afternoon may also be done.
DOMINIC KING: Manchester United well in control of this game but a word on Paul Pogba's performance. It would be diplomatic to say that he has yet to engage full throttle.
There have been some elegant passes but he is coasting, not stamping his authority on a contest he should be dominating.
Seamus Coleman in a spot of bother and receives some treatment from the physios. Could be the end of his afternoon with Gerard Deulofeu being readied on the sidelines.
Next it's Yannick Bolasie who goes to ground by the corner flag after receiving a shove from Anthony Martial. It was shoulder to shoulder but looks to be his knee that's in trouble.
Real lack of cohesion in attack for Everton but there's enough mistakes in the United defence for them to find some joy if they can get it right. Tom Cleverly in particular really lacking rhythm.
United counter, Carrick with the overlap, finds Herrera and his effort cannons off the post.
A lot more snide and needle in this second half. First half meandered but it has been fierce so far after half-time.
Wild kick from Tom Cleverly at Mkhitaryan gifts United a free kick in a dangerous position. Zlatan's volley is blocked and Everton clear.
Kevin Mirrallas forces his way into the United area and his fierce strike is well stopped by David de Gea. It was a little too close to the Spaniard, but a good save all the same.
Scrappy start to this second period at Goodison Park. United seeing most of the ball, Everton struggling to get it forward.
Big half coming up for Ronald Koeman's men. It's been a dreadful few weeks for Everton and that first-half lacked real intensity and aggression. Ross Barkley is on the bench, how long until he makes his mark on this match?
Inexplicable from the Everton No 1, and United have a, probably deserved, half-time lead. It's been tame stuff from the hosts. Just not at the races.
Goalline technology to the rescue! Steklenburg rushes off his line, gets nowhere near the ball and is lobbed by Ibrahimovic. The ball bounces, onto the bar, down against the post and then back spin takes it over the line just as Funes Mori hacks it clear, but too late! Ball well over the line.
If this stays as it is, can easily see Ronald Koeman talking about a lack of aggression. Slow tempo, atmosphere flat. Nothing in the game
Manchester United's build up play has looked good on the eye but it's just lacking some precision. Mkhitaryan has looked especially dangerous, finding pockets of space in the middle of the park but the final ball just not quite there so far.
Everton unable to really force the issue in attack.
There it is, a booking for Gareth Barry. His 400th in Premier League history (possibly not true)
Free-kick for Manchester United as Mkhitaryan runs into the trailing line of Funes Mori. Ibrahimovic's free kick is atrocious. Straight into the foot of the wall.
Midway through the second half and not much in the way of goalmouth action. Plenty of action in the middle of the pitch.
Slightest of chances for Everton, Lukaku feeds Bolasie, his cross flies across the six yard box but Kevin Mirrallas is too far away to get on the end of it.
DOMINIC KING: Plenty of noise coming from the away end, plenty of groans coming from the home support particularly when the ball is near Ramiro Funes Mori.
He's not exactly endeared himself to Everton fans over the last 12 months and he constantly looks as if he is on the brink of a mistake.
Everton struggling to find a rhythm as a whole and it's easy to tell they haven't been in Good form.
That Barry challenge was full throttled, but that's so much worse from Marcos Rojo. Two footed, wild, but only a yellow card on Idrissa Gueye.
And by the way, your two captains for today - Gareth Barry and Michael Carrick - have a combined age of 70.
Fierce challenge from Gareth Barry on Zlatan Ibrahimovic. He got the ball but he got a chunk of the man too. oh no he didn't! Late, mistimed, the ball had already been popped off. No card!
A bit of a sighter from Paul Pogba flies over the crossbar. Quiet start to the game here on Merseyside, though the away fines in particularly fine voice.
Anthony Martial bursts through the Everton defence but he is just offside after Mkhitaryan finds him.
Goodison Park in fine voice this afternoon. Early chance for the home side through a succession of corner kicks but United clear their lines.
United get us underway.
Kick-off is less than five minutes away at Goodison Park. How can Liverpool's great rivals follow up on that sensational finish on the south coast? We're about to find out.
Here's some photos, courtesy of our man at the stadium Ian Hodgson.
Here's a stat as we enter the final 15 minutes before kick-off.
15 - Manchester United have won at Goodison Park on 15 occasions in the PL; their most at an away venue in competition history. Raider.
Ronald Koeman must get Romelu Lukaku to sprint or Everton will run into trouble
JAMIE CARRAGHER: Ronald Koeman found himself under siege. He posted a picture on Twitter of a Christmas tree on Thursday, complete with red ribbons, but the response was not what he expected.
If he was unclear beforehand what the sight of that colour meant to Evertonians, he no longer needed any explanations. Koeman promptly returned to Twitter to show a differently decorated tree but added there are 'more serious problems in the world'.
He is right, of course. And there are also more serious problems at Everton to address than the way Koeman chooses to decorate his home at Christmas. A season that began with promise, after all, is reaching a defining period following a poor run in which they have won one of their last nine games.
Click HERE to read Jamie Carragher's full column from the Daily Mail.
What a game down at Bournemouth, as the home side come from 2-0 and 3-1 down to win 4-3 in the dying seconds against Liverpool. Scenes as the home fans go wild.
Click HERE to read the match report from that one.
But now everyone turns their attention to this game at Goodison. Just over half an hour to go until kick-off between Everton and Manchester United.
And how have Everton been getting on?
Lost 1-0 vs Southampton (A), November 27
Drew 1-1 vs Swansea (H), November 19
Lost 5-0 vs Chelsea (A), November 5
Won 2-0 vs West Ham (H), October 30
Lost 2-1 vs Burnley (A), October 22
What does Manchester United's league form look like coming into this game?
Drew 1-1 vs West Ham (H), November 27
Drew 1-1 vs Arsenal (H), November 19
Won 3-1 vs Swansea (A), November 6
Drew 0-0 vs Burnley (H), October 29
Lost 4-0 vs Chelsea (A), October 23
Manchester United star Paul Pogba insists he is settling well into life with the Red Devils, so much so that it feels like he's never been away.
The French superstar left United in 2012 to seek pastures new and join Italian giants Juventus but now, after returning to the red half of Manchester, the 23-year-old says he is 'home.'
'It's my house. When I left I always knew that I would come back. For me, it's just normal,' Pogba said in an interview with Sky Sports.
Manchester United and Everton currently sit seventh and eighth respectively, ahead of their 14th game of the Premier League season.
Both are in reasonably poor form and will be keen to exit their slump this afternoon. we've a big game ahead of us.
Down at the Vitality Stadium, Liverpool are 2-0 up against Bournemouth and, as it stands, moving up to second place in the Premier League.
Sadio Mane opened the scoring, before Divock Origi pounced to double the lead just a few minutes later.
That game is currently at half-time, and you can follow it with Sportsmail HERE.
Good afternoon, and welcome to Sportsmail's live coverage of Everton vs Manchester United in the Premier League.
It's been quite a weekend so far, and we've still got this big one to come!
Jose Mourinho's side have travelled down the M62, a short one-hour journey, to Goodison Park, ready for the 4pm kick-off.
Let's begin the build-up.RELATED ARTICLES Share this article
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